Consumers will likely see lower prices for the holiday staple compared to last fall, according to a report, but the unpredictable avian flu remains a threat.
After facing sticker shock caused by the supply effects of HPAI breakouts as well as overall inflation last year, consumers of poultry will likely feel some relief this holiday season.
Farmers, retailers as well as consumers dealt with significant price increases for eggs and poultry items in 2022. The amount of poultry flocks infected with the virus peaked in March 2022, with 20.98 birds. That number decreased dramatically throughout 2022, and fell significantly throughout 2023, according to the report.
The massive culling of flocks helped curb the virus in migratory birds. Roughly 58.98 million commercial and backyard poultry flocks have been killed since early 2022, according to USDA data.
HPAI driving up turkey prices in 2022 had a significant impact on the bottom line for meat producers, who have spent 2023 trying to manage their supply of the poultry item.
Hormel, which owns Jennie-O turkeys, said it identified infected turkeys in its supply chain in March 2022. This caused an 80% year-over-year drop in turkey volumes for the comp, and the decreased capacity led to a 2.4% annual decline in the meat giant’s overall sales. In its most recent quarterly earnings call, Hormel CEO Jim Snee told investors that while its turkey volumes have improved, profits in the segment are projected to be slightly down year-over-year in the fourth quarter because of lower prices.
As producers deal with the continuing threat of the virus, scientists are working toward solutions to prevent infections from occuring. In a study released by MIT Technology Review this week, researchers used gene-editing tool CRISPR to alter the DNA of ten chickens to resist HPAI. Only one chicken was infected with bird flu, and it did not trasmit it to other birds, according to the study.
SOURCE Food Dive.